who would win a war between australia and china

No other country on the planet, save New Zealand, is better placed from a purely defensive perspective. The high-altitude balloon that drifted across the United States this month was seen by many Americans as a shocking Chinese breach of U.S. sovereignty. A former US Army lieutenant colonel has warned of a possible "nuclear exchange" if the US breaks out into war with China. At home, a concerted effort must be made to find ways to better protect U.S. traditional and social media against Chinese disinformation. Should US tensions with China flare into a war there is no question that these days Washington would put enormous pressure on Albanese, or any future leader, to join them in that conflict. RELATED: It will be bloody: Threat to China. Major combat against the US means two nuclear-armed states fighting each other. "Australia has a fundamental strategic pathology to support the interests of the US at the expense of our own. Chinas new Type-055 destroyers can carry 112 large missiles. The 100,000-strong Rocket Force was made a separate branch of the Peoples Liberation Army in 2015. A successful Chinese invasion of Taiwan would punch a hole in the U.S. and allied chain of defenses in the region, seriously undermining Americas strategic position in the Western Pacific, and would probably cut off U.S. access to world-leading semiconductors and other critical components manufactured in Taiwan. Show map. A War With China Would Be Unlike Anything Americans Faced Before, https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/27/opinion/a-war-with-china-would-reach-deep-into-american-society.html, more than 1,350 ballistic and cruise missiles, worlds largest navy and Asias biggest air force, the East is rising while the West is declining. And given Beijings singular focus on finding a way to sink US-style aircraft carriers, their capacity to carry combat aircraft into effective range has been dramatically curtailed. But which one would have military superiority in outright conflict? Hugh White says a war between the US and China over Taiwan would "probably be the biggest and most disruptive war the world has seen since 1945". I think the US now accepts it may lose a conflict at least at the conventional level with China.. The impact on Americans would be profound. China is largely trying to take territorial control, which makes east Asia a likely location for trouble. In Australia do these commentators truly believe what they have been saying or is it bluff? It has additional radars and air defence weapons on outposts in the South China Sea, which extend its IADS zone out even further, although these latter systems can be destroyed by the US. We dont own cargo ships to force vital supplies through any blockade. "Relatively, we are a small country today and becoming even smaller in comparison to the company we keep. According to the late Sir James Plimsoll [in conversation with me], Mao Zedong said to Prime Minister Nehru when the two met in 1954 that, in a war with any adversary China could afford to dedicate 100 million dead. It runs between the Philippines and Taiwan. We once had a praiseworthy reputation for the quality of our leadership and our officials. Let's take a look at who would . Should a war break out around the South China Sea, the US would be under pressure to quickly neutralise the roughly 10 man-made islands China has created (seen as unsinkable aircraft carriers) to use as military bases. The Miyako Strait connects the East China Sea with the Pacific Ocean. Chinas nuclear weapons are estimated to number between 200 and 350, a mere 5 per cent of the United States arsenal, but potentially enough to deter broader conflict through the prospect of mutual destruction. With China's rise and democracy's decline, what will the global order look like in 2050? Hugh White, an emeritus professor of strategic studies at the Australian National University, has warned about the serious consequences that could arise from not adequately addressing tensions. And Beijings new navy has been in almost a constant string of live fire exercises for the past year. In its consequences, it would be profoundly and devastatingly different. Principles matter, he writes. "There would thus bea high chance that involvement in a war with China would swiftly exceed the toll in casualties suffered in Vietnam and Korea.". Today, the analysis of Allan Behm, a former head of the International Policy and Strategy Divisions of the Defence Department and Professor Clinton Fernandes, a former intelligence officer in the Australian military, are investigated. The consequences for us would be very serious in terms of the Australian economy, the impact on the Australian people and the ravages to our way of life throughout the land. It is for that reason that some commentators, including me, do not think that China is likely to initiate an offensive war in the near future, until it is sure that it has enough mass to win quickly. He believesa blockade of Taiwan by China is more likely than a cross-strait invasion. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. "It would suffer high attrition and its military modernisation and even its one-party Communist rule would be threatened. The Chinese defence budget reached $324 billion this year. Our economy would be paralysed as all trade with China and other major East Asian partners would stop dead and may not resume for a long time. Anyone can read what you share. Here are some tips. Allan Behm, who is now head of the international and security program at The Australia Institute, says were the US and China to go to war over the next five to 10 years, the best one might envisage for the US is a stalemate. Its military budget is greater than the combined expenditure of India, Russia, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan, according to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute. If China chooses to attack the island of Taiwan, the United States could be helpless to stop it. "If they think the blockade is failing, they may declare victory by pointing to the damage already inflicted or they might escalate to attacking US forces supporting Taiwan. The head of Russian mercenary group Wagner says his forces have practically encircled the crucial city of Bakhmut. Jamie Seidel is a freelance writer | @JamieSeidel. War over Taiwan would be disastrous, Australias chief of defence General Angus Campbell told a recent gathering. The United States might be forced to confront the shocking realization that the industrial muscle instrumental in victories like that in World War II President Franklin Roosevelts concept of America as the arsenal of democracy has withered and been surpassed by China. As with the Gulf War in 2003, Washington is always keen to enlist as many countries as possible to spread the cost and political risk. US-China war over Taiwan would be biggest since WWII, Australian expert says. If we lost a single frigate, that's around 170 lives in an afternoon. "China's leaders could discreetly offer negotiations to Taiwan's leaders during a blockade before taking the risky step of ordering an amphibious invasion. The military scenario alone is daunting: China would probably launch a lightning air, sea and cyber assault to seize control of key strategic targets on Taiwan within hours, before the United States and its allies could intervene. The Chinese government last week released a 12-point plan it devised to bring about an end to . All have been involved in sensitive military operations. Behm says a war with China would be "profoundly and devastatingly different" from any other war Australia has participated in since World War II. Dr Malcolm Davis, a senior analyst with ASPI's Defence, Strategy and National Security Program, told Daily Mail Australia it is increasingly likely President Xi Jinping will order Chinese forces. The most probable spark is a Chinese invasion of Taiwan. It depends how it starts China and the United States are the great rivals in the competition to win the 21st century. And Australia could be fighting for its survival. The decision to go to war would not require a public discussion. Far fewer know their real story. Professor Hugh White, a former Deputy Secretary for Strategy and Intelligence in the Department of Defence, Admiral Chris Barrie, Australias most senior military leader asChief of the Defence Force from 1998 to 2002, Allan Behm, a former head of the International Policy and Strategy Divisions of the Defence Department. "So, how would China prosecute the war? And I believe he is ready to exploit this with a multipronged campaign to divide Americans and undermine and exhaust their will to engage in a prolonged conflict what Chinas military calls enemy disintegration. The capital of China is Beijing. The US believes China has about 2000 mid-range missiles in place, which could ward off the US Navy in a conflict. "Australia's armed forces add very little by way of capability to those of the US. Possibly completely different. I suspect the US under the current president, Joe Biden, despite his various ambiguous statements, will avoid a direct confrontation with China. Washington and Beijing are locked in an intense strategic battle. Chinas military build-up is making a difference. Critical assets such as radars and airfields will immediately be targeted. Were sorry, this feature is currently unavailable. Australia is underperforming and leaving itself wide open as longstanding fears look set to come true. It depends how it starts. It would be relatively easy for China to establish a credible air and sea exclusion zone around Taiwan, and thereby put immense pressure on the Taiwanese to accept Beijings terms. Who has a better and stronger military, navy, air force, etc? From Taiwan, the PLA could also pivot south, effectively enveloping the Philippines and giving Beijing easier access to the resource-rich Benham Rise, Dr Davis writes. Rising tensions or unforeseen circumstances that couldlead to war, however, can sometimes overtake those working for peace. "China does have the mass to sustain a war of attrition over a long period as it did, and has continued to do, in Korea and in Vietnam for that matter.". But leaders in Washington also need to avoid stumbling carelessly into a war with China because it would be unlike anything ever faced by Americans. China is a country located in Eastern Asia with an area of 9,596,961 km2 (land boundries: 22,457 km and costline 14,500 km). "In the history of the 20th century, it took two world wars to deal with the difficult policy question of dealing with rising powers prepared to challenge the statusquo. While most members voted in favor of the six U.N. General Assembly resolutions passed since last . Its a problem long recognised by defence analysts and planners. "I hope they don't mean that, just as Britain has the Gurkhas, the Americans have us. Only a decade ago, the US would have easily dominated the Chinese military in almost any scenario, says Australian National University Professor Stephan Fruehling. There are always a few possibilities that the right thing to do is to go to war irrespective of the expectation that we could 'win' whatever that means. President Xi Jinping of China has said unifying Taiwan with mainland China must be achieved. His Communist Party regime has become sufficiently strong militarily, economically and industrially to take Taiwan and directly challenge the United States for regional supremacy. It runs between the Japanese islands of Mikako and Okinawa. . Yet the war in Ukraine is relatively small-scale compared with the likely demands of a major war in the Indo-Pacific. If the US went to war with China, who would win? "A cross-strait invasion is the most dangerous scenario from China's perspective. The world in 2025: China loses power, Russia 'won't exist' THE world's superpowers will be thrown into chaos and the war on IS will end. "When the US closed down Bagram airbase in Afghanistan the Afghan Army collapsed. What determines victory, loss or stalemate between the US and China is likely to be determined by the murky calculus of how much risk and how much pain and loss both sides could endure. Rebuilding them could take years. Hugh White,who is also Emeritus Professor of Strategic Studies at the Australian National University, is clear in his analysis: I do not think there is any credible chance that America, with or without Australias support, could win a war with China over Taiwan.. A Chinese close-in weapons system (CIWS) designed to shoot down incoming missiles during recent war games. Current Prime Minister Anthony Albanese would presumably discuss the matter with his National Security Cabinet before any decision is made but there are no checks and balances built into the system before the PM makes the biggest decision that a leader can make to send our young men and women to war.

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