bellwether counties epoch times
2016 Trump. Epoch Times: "Bellwether Counties Went Overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020" Since the 2020 elections, there also have been 879 newly-registered voters bringing the total to 30,248, Board of Elections director Carol Ann Hill told The Epoch Times. Both Jacobs and her husband switched to Republican and Ive never looked back, she said. It swung from Barack Obama in 2012 to Donald Trump in 2016, and political science professor Matthew Bergbower says its something akin to a purple county.. The counties tend to be clustered in the Midwest and the Northeast, with only four of the counties not falling into one of those regions, they said. The Fall of the Bellwether Counties This article is part of a series on Identifying Electoral Fraud Using Trend Analysis. The way he spoke to President Trump bothers me even more, because hes speaking to my president. Given the global context of Russias invasion of Ukraine, they believe higher gas prices and inflation is coming, and theyre not happy about it. Michael Sakal is a former reporter for The Epoch Times. Weve never done that before.. His message to Trump is: Shut up and quit twittering. Martin thinks the Democrats could have chosen a better candidate than Biden. To find out more about cookies and change your preferences, visit our, looked to ten allegedly bellwether counties, The Russia-Ukraine War: a challenge to international order, Global Energy Politics and Cost of Living Crisis, The New Normal: a dual track approach to health strategy and policy, Inside the Deal: how the EU got Brexit done. I dont listen to the news. Moreover, once we allow for bellwethers to have less than perfect records of success, the expected numbers of bellwethers increases much more rapidly than most (including us) would expect. The northern portion of the county, in towns such as Rossford and Northwood, is the blue-collar and working-class crowd and Perrysburg is home to upscale housing developments. Its just stupid, she said. And this years election is unlike any other, in which mail-in voting has become the norm, injecting an air of uncertainty into a year already full of upheaval. And to force somebody to do it, it just makes even less sense, because this country is supposed to be free.. HOW THE SPECTER OF COMMUNISM IS RULING OUR WORLD. Haotian Chen University of California, Irvine Youre not getting anybody perfect. Donald Trump 16 out of 39 counties which are considered significant bellwethers. The legislature of Orange County, New York, unanimously passed a revised spending plan of close to $75 million in federal COVID-19 . The Epoch Times Thu, 19 Nov 2020 21:41 UTC The Wall Street Journal and The Epoch Times independently analyzed the results of 19 counties around the United States that have nearly perfect presidential voting records over the last 40 years. The last time Ottawa County deviated from its winning choice for president was in 1960 when the county supported Republican Richard Nixon, but Democrat John F. Kennedy won. Since then, he has been doing odd jobs, such as cutting grass or trimming trees for neighbors. 2020: Trump - 59.1%, Biden - 38.5. And just a few miles outside the countys urban center of Terre Haute, youll find a sprawl of soybean and corn farms, with a rural demographic that often leans Republican. Jacobs believes theres more enthusiasm for Trump now than before the 2016 electionin Elk County and around the country. One major planned project in Wood County pulled outPeloton, an exercise bike and interactive exercise equipment manufacturer. I am under that impression. I know a lot of people dont like him, because of his tweets and things that he says, and I kind of agree with that. Edie Martin is struggling to get her diner back in the black after being closed for almost three months over the pandemic. Wood (population 132,248), and Ottawa, are known as bellwether counties for picking the presidential candidate who wins the White Housebut it is uncertain whether Wood County can maintain. I have not seen any division like this [before]., I believe that is because of our current president, so my main issue is that he does not stay president.. He didnt vote in 2016 either. For the first time in as long as she can remember, since becoming a registered voter 35 years ago, all three county commissioners are Republicans. He considers Trump pro-life. At least Biden is honest, he said. Carol Jacobs in Ridgway, Elk County, Penn., on Sept. 17, 2020. Those who believe that Donald Trump won the 2020 presidential election have held up his victories in many bellwether counties as evidence of electoral fraud. And yet, the belief in bellwether states or counties as predictors of US presidential elections is a phoenix that is constantly being reborn. I quit voting once out of the union.. John Hawker, a 74-year-old Port Clinton resident who grew up in Toledo, was sitting at the end of the bar and also weighed in on the state of affairs. Many counties in states that have reliably voted for one party for many cycles are home to counties which have almost always voted for the winner of the election; for example, South Carolina has two strong bellwether counties despite being a reliably Republican state, and California has a number of strong bellwethers in its central valley despite being a reliably Democratic state.. I dont think he has done that bad of a job. But thats not the picture I look at. County Legislature Approves Revised $75 Million ARPA Spending Plan Unfortunately, however, neither of the reasons for why we might think that previous bellwethers will continue to be bellwethers is valid. And the media is just taking it overboard., Shepherd said of Trump: I do know that he is not a selfish person. Ottawa County in Ohio has been on target every four years since 1964, and Bexar County in Texas (San Antonio) has had only one miss since 1928 (preferring the Democrat Hubert Humphrey in 1968). There is another bellwether list of 58 counties that has correctly picked each president since 2000; Trump won 51 of them by an average margin of nearly 15 points. He likes how the Democratic Party helps lower-income people. Republican registrations have increased from 8,467 on Nov. 9, 2016, to 9,960 as of Sept. 17 this year. As far as Wood County being a bellwether county, we do have a mixed group of people here. But what would be striking is for it to end so radically. And then theres Vigo Countyin Indianathe quintessential bellwether that has correctly picked the winner in all but two elections since 1888. Her husband, a groundskeeper at an Army Reserve base, comes from a strongly Democratic family. He doesnt take the money; hes got the money. MORE PROOF OF FRAUD: 16 of 17 Bellwether Counties Went for Trump HAS By registering for the newsletter, you agree to the, New Crew From US, Russia, and UAE Arrives at Space Station, LIVE NOW: Biden Awards Medal of Honor to Retired Army Col. Paris Davis, We Have to Pay Our Sins: Lawmakers Must Negotiate Way Out of US Debt Crisis: Sen. Manchin, Suspect Charged After Chicago Officer Dies After Shootout, Nevada Approves $330 Million in Tesla Tax Abatements Over Gigafactory Expansion. This includes personalizing content and advertising. With unfounded fraud claims swirling, red California county dumps I tend to vote my morals, Myers told The Epoch Times. Growth in recent years has been a challenge, if not nonexistent, he said. We need election reform.. Thus it would appear that bellwether. Notify me of follow-up comments by email. Rob Portmans seat, Coppeler said. He has since assessed each candidate on their moral stances, he said, rather than by party affiliation. Both Hidalgo and Valencia County, New Mexico, are close to 60 percent Hispanic. Rural white America is principally Trump, and they are ripe for conspiracy theories. Previously, he covered national topics including politics, economy, education, and law enforcement. I vote for whomever I think is going to do the better job, whether they are a Democrat or a Republican. Election Results 2014: The Bellwethers - The New York Times We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. That streak, which extended back to when the county supported Harry Truman became president ended in the 2020 Presidential Election when the Donald Trump won the county. The bellwether scores map highlights the fact that many states have a good bellwether county or two, even if they did not make the list of the 19 counties which have always voted for the winning candidate, they said. In economics, a 'bellwether' is a leading indicator of an economic trend. I vote for whoever I think is going to do the best job, Sam added. Results from 28 counties have still not been finalized, per Brookings Institution. Logistics are a nightmare, Miller said. It was easy. He also believes many local Biden voters made the decision to vote for the Democratic candidate years ago, but theyre not going to be vocal about it.. I dont feel good about the leadership in our country right now.. I got a life. "The Wall Street Journal and The Epoch Times independently analyzed the results of 19 counties around the United States that have nearly perfect presidential voting records over the last 40 years. An Emerson poll conducted shortly before Election Day was completely off, showing Trump and Biden neck and neck. March 3, 2023 Updated: March 3, 2023. Nothing is free, Hawker said. Shortened URL for this post:https://bit.ly/3JzjZ3j. With a fragile economy following the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic, Ohio is eyeing the May 3 primary election with Wood County at somewhat of a standstill. From 1980 to 2012, for instance, these bellwether counties consistently voted within a few points of the national popular vote. List of election bellwether counties in the United States We need to address the economy and safety and security, Hawker said. Bellwethers ability to predict the winner has been attributed to a large population of voters willing to switch party preference from one election to the next. Supply chain issues also have plagued the restaurant industry, not just with food such as chicken and other meats, but also supplies, Chamberlin said. US election results: Why the most accurate bellwether counties were With all the inflation, its challenging, and can be tricky to run a business, Miller, 58, said. Bellwethers arent a crystal balltheir streak was expected to end sooner or later. But Myers doesnt think Biden is respectful to Trump either. The roads are bad, the price of gas is high, its one thing after another. Blaine County. We want to get people off of welfare, we need to get people back into working again, being self sustainable. Westmoreland is the only one of the counties in the South, Clallam is the only one on the West Coast, and Hidalgo and Valencia are the only counties in the Mountain West. The price of regular gas at the local Sheetz was $2.53already substantially higher than across the border in West Virginia, where $2.19 was the norm. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. For much of the last decade, historically Republican suburban areas in Franklin, Ohio,. Thats a highly Democratic area, but people see whats going on and theyre not happy, Sam said. For Tisdell, the two major issues that weigh on his mind this year are the riots and the pandemic. I just think theres going to be a lot of problems if he doesnt become our president all the violence and the riots. Martin plans to turn up at the polling booth on Election Day. Jim Hoft. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. That was a blow to the area, Miller said about Peloton ending its plans for a $400 million project. The Upper Mississippi River Valley and it [sic] surrounding area, in particular, appears to be an epicenter of these high-scoring bellwethers., Teresa Shepherd, resident of the Indiana bellwether county of Vigo, in front of her daughters house in Seelyville, Ind., on Oct. 20, 2020. Epoch Times Canada (@EpochTimesCan) November 16, 2020. Two states have announced recounts. No one who spoke to The Epoch Times had anything positive to say about Wolfs continued shutdowns in the state. Another Ridgway resident said hes more enthusiastic to vote for Trump this year. The strongest bellwether counties are those that back the winning candidate in all elections. (Charlotte Cuthbertson/The Epoch Times). This includes personalizing content and advertising. Florida's I-4 corridor: Where presidents get picked The majority of rural America are our hard-working, blue-collar workers. He also intends to vote in personto ensure his vote is counted that day, although he used a mail-in ballot to vote in the primary. A number of fertilizer plants closed across the country last year due to natural gas shortages. Its a county where the residents are proud of its powdered metal factories and where the Ford F-Series is as ubiquitous as the American flag. The bellwethers ability to predict the winner has been attributed to a large swath of voters willing to switch party preference from one election to the next. I hope.. There Are No Bellwether Counties | HuffPost Latest News The insulting back and forth really bothers me about any candidate, Myers said. Residents who were asked about any candidate choices tended to be true to their reputation as a bellwether county, with more of a wait-and-see type of attitude of seeing whos going to step up as a presidential candidate in 2024. I think we needed somebody like him.. RIDGWAY, Pa.Tucked into a wooded valley in north-central Pennsylvania is the bellwether borough of Ridgway, the county seat of Elk County. As a father, I would be curious about what my kids are doing.. Guests are invited to enjoy live music from The BanDura BanDuo, featuring Angelika and Justin Mehes, a brother-sister musical act, visit the Cheremosh Ukrainian Dance Ensemble's costume display featuring traditional Ukrainian folk dance costumes, and connect with the . We have vendors and suppliers we contract with, Chamberlin said. Ohios Ottawa County: Staying Afloat as One of the Top Bellwether Counties in the Country. Although longtime county residents say that Wood County is in pretty good shape overallas there has been some recent industrial development on its north sideit also has been affected by national issues such as inflation, the price of gasoline, supply chain issues, and workforce shortages. Over the past nearly 40 years, presidential elections have observed an intriguing phenomenon: 19 counties in the nation have always voted for the winner, be it Republican or Democrat. Most of the jobs up here are part-time or seasonal. They missed in 1908 and 1952, but otherwise, the county has well earned its reputation as a bellwether. The counties are also mostly small and rural. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. Bellwether counties are mostly a matter of chance and are now - USAPP A small-business owner, who didnt want to be identified, said hes voting for Biden. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. Review: At Fall for Dance, Resilience Takes Center Stage As part of The Epoch Times Association, Inc., a nonprofit organization we stand outside of political interests and the pursuit of profit, to educate readers about today's most critical issues . Robert Ellithorpe, an 84-year-old great grandfather, and Navy aviation veteran said he believed the 2020 presidential election was legitimate and Biden received 80 million votes. The United States needs to get back to where were responsible, energy independent, and get away from the thought process of these liberal socialists in office., Government is out of control, he added. Sawyer County, Wisconsin, and Clallam County, Washington, have substantial Native American populations, the authors said. Medicare is becoming a joke. Bellwether Counties Went Overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020 March 1, 2023 8:28 PM PT. When you were in the union, they always wanted you to vote for Democrats, Paul said. 'I Should Start Voting'. Comparing the most recent elections (2000-2020) to those in earlier periods (1960-1980), we find a striking decline in the proportion of bellwether counties, i.e., those with correct prediction in past elections.
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